Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 154.437171 176.939802 202.119963 232.483860 268.236939 309.155674 359.757372
2025-11-02 123.765915 152.928992 188.552352 235.656346 296.878734 374.545131 481.789611
2025-11-09 106.437017 138.604489 180.392288 239.424120 321.911878 434.959405 604.904013
2025-11-16 93.153838 126.391240 171.716230 239.228951 339.301421 485.524835 721.753426
2025-11-23 82.970957 116.518006 164.178194 238.460585 354.348759 533.511888 842.262398
2025-11-30 75.679090 109.577520 159.532080 240.645876 373.257977 589.294013 984.968464
2025-12-07 67.131955 99.663053 149.066748 232.061381 373.187057 613.547558 1077.517610
2025-12-14 61.259512 93.119133 142.904588 229.309591 381.925078 653.405482 1205.460071
2025-12-21 57.405897 89.289826 140.522814 232.340532 400.764768 713.758464 1384.945446
2025-12-28 55.342252 88.093875 142.226388 242.468202 433.641892 805.457447 1648.775549
2026-01-04 52.718088 85.671442 141.535466 248.097827 458.689722 885.879348 1907.124198
2026-01-11 49.183506 81.348230 137.069381 246.108335 468.356993 936.138958 2107.910273
2026-01-18 46.763819 79.074475 136.596335 252.866296 499.415608 1043.716717 2493.356461
2026-01-25 44.040276 76.036182 134.487461 256.347125 524.789088 1145.655537 2902.732276
2026-02-01 41.693969 73.428865 132.854370 260.499205 552.323855 1258.948811 3384.075766
2026-02-08 39.098392 70.084386 129.402410 260.284052 569.764260 1351.343896 3838.843659
2026-02-15 36.707022 66.895400 125.898403 259.437124 585.522434 1443.139152 4328.144927
2026-02-22 34.872232 64.616388 123.980008 261.845956 609.759258 1563.967765 4965.949175
2026-03-01 32.111141 60.246779 117.291364 252.385251 601.967733 1592.206813 5286.368596
2026-03-08 30.177888 57.393468 113.529552 249.353696 610.708754 1671.778865 5837.887810
2026-03-15 28.941432 55.867005 112.464754 252.692813 637.469511 1813.949319 6710.650338
2026-03-22 28.397241 55.738295 114.444369 263.854947 688.542901 2049.088574 8112.831015
2026-03-29 27.506001 54.787588 114.476948 270.062670 726.514183 2252.031054 9493.777847